Scenarios and risks (Preparatory step)
Technical and scientific work from 2009 to 2011
Partners: Université de Moncton, Shippagan campus, Department of Environment and Local Government, Department of Energy and Resource Development
Results:
- high-resolution elevation model based on LiDAR data
- sea level rise and storm surge level projections
- shoreline recession and advancement projections
- database of infrastructures at risk based on various flood and shoreline recession scenarios
Report:
Robichaud, A., Simard, I., Doiron, A. et Chelbi, M. 2011. Infrastructures à risque dans trois municipalités de la Péninsule acadienne.
Priorities and potential strategies
Strategic planning exercise by a working group from the community in the fall of 2011
Members of the working group: Madeleine Roussel, Jacqueline Roussel, Éli Roussel, Sandra Couture and Jean Daniel Haché
Facilitation: CZRI and Commission d’aménagement de la Péninsule acadienne (now the Acadian Peninsula Regional Service Commission)
Recommendations:
- Use the 2055 sea level rise scenario, the 50-year storm surge scenario at HHWLT, and the 2100 shoreline recession scenario for purposes of planning and delineating the areas at risk.
- Amend the Village of Le Goulet municipal plan to include zoning aimed at minimizing flood and erosion risks:
1) a retreat zone, no new construction and no expansion of existing buildings permitted, as delineated by the projected shoreline in 2100 and the provincial wetlands.
2) an accommodation zone where construction is allowed within certain conditions corresponding to the zone that would be flooded by the 50-year storm surge in 2055.
Map: Adaptation aux changements climatiques : recommandations de zonage pour Le Goulet afin de minimiser les risques associés aux inondations et à l’érosion côtières
Report:
Aubé, M. et Kocyla, B. 2012. Adaptation aux changements climatiques: planification de l’utilisation du territoire à Shippagan, Le Goulet et Bas-Caraquet.
Strategic planning exercise by a working group from the community in the fall of 2012.
Members of the working group: Wilfred Roussel, Paul-Aimé Mallet, Normand Vienneau, Roger Roussel, Jacqueline Roy Roussel, Éli Roussel, Sandra Young Couture and Jadus Haché
Facilitation: CZRI
Recommendations:
The priority areas are :
- Eastern and western residential areas and special care home
- Dunes on the Le Goulet coastline
- Residential areas east and west of the village and the special care home: The working group favors an accommodation strategy for these areas. The main recommendations involve temporary waterproofing (e.g., sand bags) and the installation of check valves.
- Dunes on the Le Goulet coastline: continue the dune restoration project that is under way.
Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Doiron, A. 2014. Accompagnement de communautés de la Péninsule acadienne dans la planification de l’adaptation aux changements climatiques: année 3. Exercices de planification stratégique à Shippagan, Bas-Caraquet, Le Goulet et Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël, Cap-Bateau et Pigeon Hill.
Evaluation and selection of strategies (under way)
Evaluation of the dune restoration option as an adaptation strategy
Report:
Hébert, C. et Aubé, M. 2015. Évaluation d’options d’adaptation aux changements climatiques: Restauration des dunes à Le Goulet
Monitoring of the beach sediment dynamics by CZRI since 2014
Reports:
Hébert, C. et Aubé, M. 2015. Évaluation d’options d’adaptation aux changements climatiques: Restauration des dunes à Le Goulet
Hébert, C., et Aubé, M. 2016. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 2
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Jean, S. 2017. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 3
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Jean, S. 2018. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 4
VALORES. 2020. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 5
St-Hilaire, B., Simon, T.-M. et Hébert, C. 2020. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 6
Haché, F., Peterlini, T. et Simon, T.-M. 2024. Suivi sur la restauration des dunes de Le Goulet: Année 10
Cost-benefit analysis of adaptation strategies including sediment recharge and a dike
Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C., Wilson, J., Trenholm, R. and Patriquin, M. 2016. Cost Benefit Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for the Acadian Peninsula.
Planning exercise for final selection forthcoming in 2017-2018
Implementation
The Village of Le Goulet has completed the process leading to the development of its Climate Change Adaptation Plan.
The final selection of actions in the plan was made following public consultation that took place in the fall of 2018.
An implementation plan has been developed including details of when and how the actions will be carried out. The implementation plan will be updated as needed.
Report:
Dune restoration project conducted by the Village of Le Goulet. (Report underway)
