Steps completed

Scenarios and risks

Technical and scientific work from 2009 to 2011

Partners: Université de Moncton, Shippagan campus, Department of Environment and Local Government, Department of Energy and Resource Development

Results:
  • high-resolution elevation model based on LiDAR data
  • sea level rise and storm surge level projections
  • shoreline recession and advancement projections
  • database of infrastructures at risk based on various flood and shoreline recession scenarios

Report:

Robichaud, A., Simard, I., Doiron, A. et Chelbi, M. 2011. Infrastructures à risque dans trois municipalités de la Péninsule acadienne.


Maps and zoning

Strategic planning exercise by a working group from the community in the fall of 2011

Members of the working group: Madeleine Roussel, Jacqueline Roussel, Éli Roussel, Sandra Couture and Jean Daniel Haché

Facilitation: CZRI and Commission d’aménagement de la Péninsule acadienne (now the Acadian Peninsula Regional Service Commission)

Recommendations:
  • Use the 2055 sea level rise scenario, the 50-year storm surge scenario at HHWLT, and the 2100 shoreline recession scenario for purposes of planning and delineating the areas at risk.
  • Amend the Village of Le Goulet municipal plan to include zoning aimed at minimizing flood and erosion risks:

1) a retreat zone, no new construction and no expansion of existing buildings permitted, as delineated by the projected shoreline in 2100 and the provincial wetlands.

2) an accommodation zone where construction is allowed within certain conditions corresponding to the zone that would be flooded by the 50-year storm surge in 2055.

Map: Adaptation aux changements climatiques : recommandations de zonage pour Le Goulet afin de minimiser les risques associés aux inondations et à l’érosion côtières

Report:
Aubé, M. et Kocyla, B. 2012. Adaptation aux changements climatiques: planification de l’utilisation du territoire à Shippagan, Le Goulet et Bas-Caraquet.


Priorities and potential strategies

Strategic planning exercise by a working group from the community in the fall of 2012.

Members of the working group: Wilfred Roussel, Paul-Aimé Mallet, Normand Vienneau, Roger Roussel, Jacqueline Roy Roussel, Éli Roussel, Sandra Young Couture and Jadus Haché

Facilitation: CZRI

Recommendations:

The priority areas are :

  • Eastern and western residential areas and special care home
  • Dunes on the Le Goulet coastline

  1. Residential areas east and west of the village and the special care home: The working group favors an accommodation strategy for these areas. The main recommendations involve temporary waterproofing (e.g., sand bags) and the installation of check valves.
  2. Dunes on the Le Goulet coastline: continue the dune restoration project that is under way.

Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Doiron, A. 2014. Accompagnement de communautés de la Péninsule acadienne dans la planification de l’adaptation aux changements climatiques: année 3. Exercices de planification stratégique à Shippagan, Bas-Caraquet, Le Goulet et Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël, Cap-Bateau et Pigeon Hill.


Evaluation and selection of strategies (under way)

Evaluation of the dune restoration option as an adaptation strategy

Report:
Hébert, C. et Aubé, M. 2015. Évaluation d’options d’adaptation aux changements climatiques: Restauration des dunes à Le Goulet

Monitoring of the beach sediment dynamics by CZRI since 2014

Reports:
Hébert, C. et Aubé, M. 2015. Évaluation d’options d’adaptation aux changements climatiques: Restauration des dunes à Le Goulet
Hébert, C., et Aubé, M. 2016. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 2
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Jean, S. 2017. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 3
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Jean, S. 2018. Suivi de la restauration des dunes à Le Goulet: année 4

Cost-benefit analysis of adaptation strategies including sediment recharge and a dike

Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C., Wilson, J., Trenholm, R. and Patriquin, M. 2016. Cost Benefit Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for the Acadian Peninsula.

Planning exercise for final selection forthcoming in 2017-2018

Implementation (under way)

Dune restoration project conducted by the Village of Le Goulet

Erosion and flooding
In the example above, see the evolution of coastal erosion in the Pigeon Hill area from 1944 to 2012. Move the arrows!

A rigorous process

Scenarios and risks

icon scenario
Gain better knowledge of damage risks and risks to human health posed by erosion and flooding.

Maps and zoning

icon cartes
Delineate areas at risk based on recommendations.

Priorities and potential strategies

icon priorites
Identify and prioritise elements at stake within risk areas.

Evaluation and strategy selection

icon evaluations
Conduct more extensive studies for some of the adaptation measures under consideration.

Implementation plans

icon plan
Define the details on when and how the actions will be taken and implemented.

Project progression

Follow the progress of the project in your community using the interactive map.

View the map

Possible solutions

Adapting to climate change requires the implementation of several complementary measures on the same territory to ensure the safety of both the public and infrastructures. Here are some possible solutions.