Scenarios and risks (Preparatory step)
Erosion risk analysis
Technical and scientific work done in 2012
Partners: Université de Moncton, Shippagan campus and Moncton campus, and Geomediatix Innovations Inc.
Results:
- shoreline recession and advancement projections
- database of infrastructures at risk based on various flood and shoreline recession scenarios
Map: Projection du changement du trait de côte en 2025, 2055, 2085 et 2100 et infrastructures à risque à Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphael
Report:
Robichaud, A., Simard, I. et Chelbi, M. 2012. Érosion et infrastructures à risque à Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël, Nouveau-Brunswick
Flood risk analysis
Technical and scientific work done in 2016
Partners: Coastal Zones Research Institute Inc., Groupe Regenord Inc., The Acadian Peninsula Regional Service Commission, Department of Environment and Local Government, Department of Energy and Resource Development and Université de Moncton, Shippagan campus
Results:
- high-resolution elevation model based on LiDAR data
- sea level rise and storm surge level projections
- database of infrastructures at risk based on various flood scenarios
Report :
Aubé, M., Hébert, C., Jean, S., Simard, I. et Chelbi, M. 2017. Analyse de risque d'inondation et d'érosion pour l'Île de Lamèque.
Priorities and potential strategies
Strategic planning exercise by a working group from Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël, Cap-Bateau and Pigeon Hill in the fall of 2013
Members of the working group: Conrad Godin, Alphonse Paulin, Renald Guignard, Mabel Guignard, André Mercier, George Savoie, Corinne Savoie, Rémi Hébert, Victor Landry, Gaston Guignard, Mélissa Duguay, Leroy Webster, Rosaline Beaudin and Laurent Beaudin
Facilitation: CZRI and UMCS
Recommendations:
The areas to be given priority are the:
1) Highway 305 into Pigeon Hill and the residences along the coast at the entrance to the Village of Pigeon Hill
2) Principal and secondary residences along the coast on Paulin Street in Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël
3) Section of Highway 305 crossing Cap-Bateau and the residences along the coast in Cap-Bateau.
The working group is advocating a gradual retreat strategy for all of these areas at risk of erosion. The main recommendations, which support a retreat strategy, call for the relocation of existing buildings by prioritizing principal residences and creating a retreat zone where any new construction would be prohibited. The working group recommends including a retreat zone where no new construction would be allowed, as delineated by the 2100 shoreline projection, in the Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël municipal plan. The group also recommends that shoreline projections be computed for Cap-Bateau and Pigeon Hill.
Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Doiron, A. 2014. Accompagnement de communautés de la Péninsule acadienne dans la planification de l’adaptation aux changements climatiques: année 3. Exercices de planification stratégique à Shippagan, Bas-Caraquet, Le Goulet et Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël, Cap-Bateau et Pigeon Hill.
Evaluation and selection of adaptation strategies (continiously under way)
Evaluation of the relocation option as an adaptation strategy
Report:
Aubé, M. et Hébert, C. 2015. Évaluation d’options d’adaptation aux changements climatiques: Relocalisation à Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël, Cap-Bateau et Pigeon Hill
Cost-benefit analysis of adaptation strategies including relocation
Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C., Wilson, J., Trenholm, R. and Patriquin, M. 2016. Cost Benefit Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for the Acadian Peninsula.
Planning exercise by an internal committee in the fall of 2017 for preliminary strategy selection
Members of the internal committee: Conrad Godin, Caroline Ethier, Luc Levesque, Linda Lavoie, Sylvain Chiasson, Onile Mallet et Victor Landry
Facilitation: CZRI
Preliminary strategy selection:
The main strategies are:
• Amend the municipal development plan to include a retreat zone where no construction would be permitted, as delineated by the projected shoreline for 2100, as well as an accommodation zone, as delineated by the area that would be flooded by a 100-year storm surge in 2100.
• Regulate the use of protective structures.
• Create a registry of potential places to move to (available land, uninhabited houses that could be rented, houses for sale and apartments available in the Village) for owners at immediate risk of erosion.
• Inform the population of the erosion and flood risks specific to their area and of accommodation measures to limit damages.
Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C., Jean, S. et Sonier, T. 2018. Plans d’action préliminaires pour Shippagan, Bas-Caraquet et Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël : accompagnement de communautés dans leur adaptation aux changements climatiques.
Info - Public consultation
Implementation plan
The Village of Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël has completed the process leading to the development of its Climate Change Adaptation Plan.
The final selection of actions in the plan was made following public consultation that took place in the fall of 2018.
An implementation plan has been developed including details of when and how the actions will be carried out. The implementation plan will be updated as needed.
Report:
Aubé, M., Hébert, C. et Sonier, T. 2019. Adaptation aux changements climatiques - Plan d'action pour le Village de Sainte-Marie-Saint-Raphaël
